EUR/USD Current price: 1.3179
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The EUR/USD saw a sharp downward movement towards fresh lows at 1.3156 following ECB Economic forecast, cutting EU area GDP forecast to -0.3% in 2013 from a previous +0.1%. News also show banks are going to repay EUR 61.1bln of 2nd 3y LTRO against the expected 122.5bln on Feb 27th. Still unable to break below key 1.3150 static support level, the pair finds short term support in raising US indexes that point for a positive opening. The EUR/USD hourly chart, shows price below 20 SMA, capping the upside around 1.3200, while momentum stands right below 100 and RSI in negative territory. In the 4 hours chart the bearish tone persists, with RSI already off extreme oversold readings. The downside remains favored with a break below 1.3150 needed to see a downward extension today.
Support levels: 1.3150 1.3110 1.3080
Resistance levels: 1.3210 1.3245 1.3290
GBP/USD Current price: 1.5280
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The GBP/USD bounce seen yesterday, extended to 1.5319 today, with the pair finding short term support around 1.5240 daily low. The hourly chart shows indicators bouncing higher from their midlines, while price struggles to hold above a flat 20 SMA. In the 4 hours chart however, the bearish tone seen on previous updates persists, as 20 SMA offered dynamic resistance around mentioned daily high, while indicators head back south after correcting oversold readings. Price needs to extend below daily low to attempt a retest of the weekly low of 1.5130.
Support levels: 1.5240 1.5200 1.5170
Resistance levels: 1.5320 1.5360 1.5400
USD/JPY Current price: 93.34
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The 92.70 area continues to attract buyers in the USD/JPY that trades with a slightly bullish tone as risk sentiment eased somehow. The hourly chart, shows indicators aiming higher above their midlines, still pretty neutral, while 100 and 200 SMA’s offer dynamic resistance around the 93.50 area. In the 4 hours chart technical readings had turned neutral, as indicators stand flat below their midlines. The picture remains unclear in the pair, as long as the 92.70/93.60 range persist.
.Support levels: 92.70 92.30 92.00
Resistance levels: 93.30 93.55 93.80
AUD/USD: Current price: 1.0325
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Aussie trades higher this Friday, following RBA’s governor Stevens speech past Asian session, less dovish than expected. The AUD/USD surged to 1.0339, stable now near the highs. The hourly chart shows a strong 20 SMA heading higher below current price, offering dynamic support around 1.0300, although indicators lost upward momentum and turned south. In the 4 hours chart, technical readings are mostly neutral, with a quite limited upward tone. Price however, needs to establish above the 1.0370 resistance area to be able to deny the bearish trend and attempt further recoveries.
Support levels: 1.0300 1.0260 1.0220
Resistance levels: 1.0370 1.0410 1.0440
EUR/USD: No rest for Mario
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