Wednesday, February 26, 2014

EUR/USD: Risk turns to the downside


EUR/USD Current price: 1.3716


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The battle continues among EUR/USD traders, with the pair being hit early US morning on the back of increasing risk aversion: stocks and gold are down giving the greenback some air, while Fed’s Fisher hit the wires saying he is not expecting any pause in $10montlhy taper, favoring some mild dollar strength across the board. Technically, the EUR/USD has broke a short term ascendant trend line and even completed a pullback to it now around 1.3735 immediate resistance, while 20 SMA gains bearish slope above current price and indicators turn south in negative territory, supporting the negative tone. In the 4 hours chart technical readings gain bearish potential albeit still neutral: key support stands around 1.3680, and if broken, the bearish momentum should accelerate over the upcoming sessions.


Support levels: 1.3680 1.3650 1.3615


Resistance levels: 1.3735 1.3770 1.3820 



GBP/USD Current price: 1.6676


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The GBP/USD stands unchanged from previous updates, hovering around the 23.6% retracement of its latest bullish run around 1.6690. The hourly chart maintains a neutral stance, with indicators flat as well as moving averages, while the 4 hours chart shows a pretty similar picture, giving not much tips on upcoming direction. If something, dips will likely found buyers near 1.6600, 38.2% retracement of the same rally. 


Support levels:  1.6640 1.6590 1.6550


Resistance levels: 1.6690 1.6745 1.6790 



USD/JPY Current price: 102.26


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The USD/JPY recovered some ground albeit remained capped by its 100 SMA in the hourly chart around 102.40. Indicators in the mentioned time frame head higher in positive territory, but unless a recovery above mentioned resistance, the upside will remain limited, and even then, the pair may face selling interest at the top of these last days range of 102.80.


Support levels: 102.00 101.70 101.35 


Resistance levels: 102.40 102.80 103.20



AUD/USD Current price: 0.8969


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Australian dollar eases against its rivals, with the AUD/USD reaching so far 0.8963 amid risk sentiment. The hourly chart shows 20 SMA gaining a strong bearish slope above current price, while indicators accelerated lower below their midlines, supporting current slide. In the 4 hours chart technical readings also present a bearish tone, albeit still in neutral territory and lacking strength, suggesting the bearish run should not be taken for granted: recent lows around 0.8935 are the key support to follow, as once below the movement may gain momentum and extend towards 0.8880 price zone.


Support levels: 0.8960 0.8935 0.8880


Resistance levels: 0.8990 0.9020 0.9060 
















































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EUR/USD: Risk turns to the downside

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