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Talking Points:
EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3757
Support: 1.3444 (76.4% Fib exp.), 1.3352 (100% Fib exp.)
Resistance: 1.3500 (61.8% Fib exp.), 1.3545-52 (50% Fib exp., trend line)
We sold EUR/USD at 1.3757 after the pair put in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern, hinting markets were readying to begin to price in the forces driving our fundamental outlook. The move lower resumed as expected following a brief upswing after prices showed a Shooting Star candle, taking out rising trend line support set from early September 2013.
We will continue to hold the trade, revising our stop to be activated on a daily close above the January 24 swing high at 1.3738. The first long-term objective remains 1.3209 (the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion formed by the April 2011 high, the July 2012 low, and the December 2013 swing top).
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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Forex: EUR/USD Technical Analysis ? Continued Weakness Expected
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