Forex Profits Master: EURAUD Scalps Target Weekly Opening Range- Longs at Risk Sub-1.4175

Tuesday, March 31, 2015

EURAUD Scalps Target Weekly Opening Range- Longs at Risk Sub-1.4175

Talking Points

Weekly Opening Range taking shape below key resistance

Break to verify/invalidate long-bias

Event Risk on Tap ThisWeek

EUR/AUD Daily

Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Technical Outlook

EURAUD completes 100% extension off the lows into key resistance 1.4162/75

Key near-term support 1.4000/40 –bullish invalidation

Break below targets objectives into lower median-line support (dashed blue)

Topside breach targets 1.4235 / ML resistance off the February high

Daily RSI holding sub-50 (bearish)- Pending support trigger in play

Event Risk Ahead: Australia Building Approvals tonight, AU Trade Balance& China PMI Tomorrow & NFPs on Friday

EUR/AUD 30min

Notes:The weekly opening range is taking shape just below near-term resistance with the 1.4040-1.4175 region in focus. Near-term support & bearish invalidation extends into the 1.40-figure with a break below confirming a near-term reversal lower in the pair targeting support objectives into the lower median-line parallel, currently just above the 1.39-handle.

Bottom line: we’re at risk for a turn lower near-term with a break sub-1.4040 needed to shift our scalp bias back to the short-side. Interim resistance stands at 1.4105 backed by at 1.4165/75 (near-term bearish invalidation). A breach above this region targets 1.4235 / the longer dated upper MLP just shy of 1.43 (depending on time). Caution is warranted heading into the Chinese PMI numbers with the print likely to fuel added volatility in Aussie crosses.

* It’s extremely important to give added consideration regarding the timing of intra-day scalps with the opening ranges on a session & hourly basis offering further clarity on intra-day biases.

Relevant Data Releases

EURAUD Scalps Target Weekly Opening Range- Longs at Risk Sub-1.4175