Tuesday, September 30, 2014

US Dollar Chart Setup Warns of Pullback, SPX 500 Touches 6-Week Low




Talking Points:



  • US Dollar Technical Setup Reveals Another Pullback Warning


  • S&P 500 Touches Six-Week Low as Downward Drift Continues


  • Gold and Crude Oil Prices Remain Locked in Familiar Ranges


Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **



US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a Shooting Star candlestick, hinting a pullback may in the cards. Near-term support is at 10990, marked by the intersection of the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion and a rising trend line. A break below that on a daily closing basis exposes the September 22 high at 10956. Alternatively, a push above the 23.6% level at 11043 opens the door for a challenge of the 38.2% Fib at 11130.


US Dollar Chart Setup Warns of Pullback, SPX 500 Touches 6-Week Low


Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0



** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.



S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices are testing falling channel resistance at 1982.50, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposes the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 1994.60. Near-term support is at 1963.40, the September 29 swing low, followed by the channel floor at 1947.40.


US Dollar Chart Setup Warns of Pullback, SPX 500 Touches 6-Week Low


Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0



GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern, hinting a move higher may be ahead. A break above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1226.73 on a daily closing basis exposes the 23.6% level at 1239.20. Near-term support is at 1206.49, the September 25 low.


US Dollar Chart Setup Warns of Pullback, SPX 500 Touches 6-Week Low



Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0



CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are testing support at 96.73, the April 2013 low, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 95.11. Near-term resistance is at 99.59, the September 17 high.


US Dollar Chart Setup Warns of Pullback, SPX 500 Touches 6-Week Low


Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0



— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com



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US Dollar Chart Setup Warns of Pullback, SPX 500 Touches 6-Week Low

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