Thursday, July 10, 2014

Outlook for Indian Government Bonds



Quotes from Standard Chartered:


-Bond markets liked the Indian government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation, the extension of the withholding tax cut (to 5%) to June 2017 and the reiteration of the intent to allow international settlement of Indian debt securities. Notwithstanding these medium-term positives, IGBs traded range-bound, with the benchmark 10Y IGB hovering between c.8.65% and c.8.75%.


-We retain a Positive outlook on IGBs and await better entry levels on IGBs in the belly of the curve. Near-term, key rate-market concerns are adverse monsoons, heavy IGB supply in July and August and changes in tax treatment for debt mutual funds. However, favourable inflation dynamics – we expect June CPI at 7.3%, the lowest since the series began – are likely to limit any substantial sell off in the IGBs. 



Published: 2014-07-11 06:03:00 UTC+00







Outlook for Indian Government Bonds

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